A 10,000-Year Global Stochastic Tropical Cyclone Catalog with Wind-Dependent Track Transitions (WHITS)

arXiv:2605.20494v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable assessment of tropical cyclone (TC) risk is limited by the brevity and spatial sparsity of the historical record, particularly for the rare, high-intensity landfalls that dominate insured loss. We present WHITS (Wind-focused Hurricane Interactive Track Simulator), a non-parametric semi-Markov track generator that extends the HITS framework of Nakamura et al. (2015) in three ways: transitions between historical track segments are conditioned on local wind speed in addition to position, age, and forward vector; the kernel selection on the

Source: arXiv cs.LG — read the full report at the original publisher.

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