arXiv:2510.07231v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Socio-economic causal effects depend heavily on their institutional and environmental contexts. The same intervention can produce different, even opposite, effects across regulatory regimes, market conditions, time periods, or populations. This poses a challenge for large language models (LLMs) in decision-support roles: can they infer the direction of a causal effect under a specified context, and revise that judgment when the context changes? To address this, we introduce EconCausal, a large-scale benchmark of 10,490 context-annotated causa

Source: arXiv cs.CL — read the full report at the original publisher.

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