Valid and Expressive Copulas for Irregular Multivariate Time Series

arXiv:2605.23632v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce CopFITi, a copula model for probabilistic forecasting of irregular multivariate time series (IMTS). Our model combines the expressivity of normalizing flows for univariate marginals with the consistency and flexibility of a Gaussian Mixture Copula for the joint dependency structure. Our experiments show that copula-based approaches, which decouple the marginals from the joint, yield better marginal models than architectures that directly fit the full joint. With CopFITi, we propose the first IMTS copula that is marginalization-consis

Source: arXiv cs.LG — read the full report at the original publisher.

This is a curated wire item. The Continuum Brief does not republish full third-party articles; this entry links to the original source.