SIGNALAI·Jun 26, 2026, 4:00 AMSignal55Medium term

A Concept of Possibility for Real-World Events

Source: arXiv cs.AI

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A Concept of Possibility for Real-World Events

arXiv:2510.02655v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This paper offers a new concept of {\it possibility} as an alternative to the now-a-days standard concept originally introduced by L.A. Zadeh in 1978. This new version was inspired by the original but, formally, has nothing in common with it other than that they both adopt the {\L}ukasiewicz multivalent interpretation of the logical connectives. Moreover, rather than seeking to provide a general notion of possibility, this focuses specifically on the possibility of a real-world event. An event is viewed as having prerequisites that enable its

Why this matters
Why now

This paper offers a new approach to possibility in AI, diverging from Zadeh's 1978 concept, suggesting a current drive to refine foundational AI theories beyond existing paradigms.

Why it’s important

A revised mathematical framework for 'possibility' could lead to more nuanced and robust AI systems, enhancing their ability to reason about real-world uncertainties and events.

What changes

The conceptual model for how AI interprets and integrates real-world event possibilities is undergoing a fundamental re-evaluation, moving beyond traditional fuzzy logic interpretations.

Winners
  • · AI researchers
  • · Autonomous system developers
  • · Risk assessment platforms
Losers
  • · AI systems overly reliant on Zadeh's fuzzy possibility theory
Second-order effects
Direct

AI models may be able to better anticipate and react to unforeseen real-world conditions by using this refined possibility concept.

Second

Improved possibility models could enhance the reliability and safety of AI in critical applications like self-driving cars or medical diagnostics.

Third

More sophisticated philosophical foundations for AI reasoning might emerge, fostering a deeper understanding of artificial intelligence's potential and limitations.

Editorial confidence: 85 / 100 · Structural impact: 40 / 100
Original report

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