SHIFTCapital Markets·May 26, 2026, 4:00 AMSignal85Medium term

AI and the brave new world of deals

AI and the brave new world of deals

Global M&A is now dominated by the race to control the world’s energy, fibre networks and compute

Why this matters
Why now

The accelerating pace of AI development and deployment is creating a high-stakes competitive environment where control over foundational resources like energy, fiber, and compute becomes paramount for future economic and technological leadership.

Why it’s important

This indicates a fundamental recalibration of M&A strategies, shifting from traditional market consolidation to a race for the underlying infrastructural components critical for the AI era, impacting national security and economic power.

What changes

The focus of global M&A is explicitly redefining 'value' not just in terms of market share or product IP, but in the ownership of the fundamental inputs that enable AI: energy, connectivity, and processing power.

Winners
  • · Energy producers and grid operators
  • · Fibre network infrastructure owners
  • · Hyperscale data center operators
  • · AI-reliant sectors with secure infrastructure access
Losers
  • · Companies dependent on open access to compute resources
  • · Nations lacking foundational infrastructure control
  • · Traditional M&A targets without strategic AI relevance
Second-order effects
Direct

Increased M&A activity in the energy, telecom, and compute infrastructure sectors.

Second

Heightened geopolitical competition and state-backed investments to secure critical AI infrastructure domestically.

Third

A potential restructuring of global economic power based on national control over the AI stack's foundational elements.

Editorial confidence: 95 / 100 · Structural impact: 90 / 100
Original report

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Read at Financial Times — Technology
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