AI Sovereignty: A Qualitative Model of Strategic Competition as AI Becomes an Instrument of National Power
arXiv:2606.07245v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: AI sovereignty is the extent to which a nation independently controls its artificial intelligence (AI) technologies. The race toward ever-more-sophisticated frontier AI models is of increasing strategic importance, with nations considering how AI might improve their economic situations, competitive advantage, and overall national power. However, the costs of AI sovereignty are enormous, and we lack definitions and conceptual models to navigate evolving AI sovereignty dynamics. We address this gap with definitions relevant to AI sovereignty, alo
The paper addresses a growing strategic imperative as nations recognize AI's role in national power, but grapple with the immense costs and lack of clear models for AI sovereignty.
This defines and models AI sovereignty, providing a framework for strategic readers to understand the dynamics of international competition and national capabilities in advanced AI.
The explicit conceptualization of AI sovereignty as a measure of independent national control over AI technologies provides a new analytical lens for policy and investment decisions.
- · Nations with strong domestic AI ecosystems
- · AI compute and model developers
- · Cybersecurity and data infrastructure providers
- · Nations reliant on foreign AI stacks
- · Globalized AI research partnerships (potentially)
- · Firms without national strategic alignment
Nations will accelerate investments in domestic AI foundational models, compute, and talent pipelines.
Increased geopolitical competition will manifest as 'AI blocs' form, potentially leading to diverging technical standards and ecosystems.
The pursuit of AI sovereignty could fragment the global AI supply chain, raising costs and limiting innovation for some, while consolidating power for others.
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Read at arXiv cs.AI