SIGNALAI·Jul 7, 2026, 4:00 AMSignal60Medium term

Algorithmic Shortlisting in Participatory Budgeting

Source: arXiv cs.AI

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Algorithmic Shortlisting in Participatory Budgeting

arXiv:2508.06577v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Participatory budgeting is a democratic innovation that allows citizens to propose and vote on public investment projects. To help organizers manage large volumes of submissions, we design and test privacy-preserving methods for algorithmic shortlisting. These algorithms predict which projects are likely to be funded using only project features and anonymous historical voting data. We demonstrate the limitations of a naive approach that uses a large language model to rank projects based on past success and propose a vote-based pipeline

Why this matters
Why now

The increasing volume of citizen submissions in participatory budgeting initiatives necessitates automated solutions, while advancements in AI, specifically large language models, offer new tools for managing and analyzing this data.

Why it’s important

This development indicates a growing application of AI in direct democratic processes, potentially streamlining governance and enhancing public engagement while raising questions about algorithmic bias and fairness in decision-making.

What changes

Algorithms are now being designed to influence democratic processes by pre-selecting public investment projects, shifting how citizen input is processed and prioritized.

Winners
  • · Government organizers of participatory budgeting
  • · AI algorithm developers
  • · Citizens whose projects are prioritized efficiently
Losers
  • · Citizens whose projects are unfairly deprioritized
  • · Traditional manual project review processes
  • · Organizations focused on purely human-driven governance
Second-order effects
Direct

More efficient and scalable participatory budgeting processes are implemented in cities and municipalities globally.

Second

Public trust and engagement in democratic processes may increase due to perceived efficiency, or decline due to concerns about algorithmic transparency and fairness.

Third

The success of these algorithms could lead to their broader adoption in other forms of public policy and decision-making, further integrating AI into governance structures.

Editorial confidence: 90 / 100 · Structural impact: 55 / 100
Original report

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Read at arXiv cs.AI
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