SIGNALCapital Markets·Jun 26, 2026, 10:00 AMSignal75Short term

Economists Lift US Core Inflation Forecasts, See Fed on Hold - Bloomberg

Economists Lift US Core Inflation Forecasts, See Fed on Hold Bloomberg

Why this matters
Why now

Ongoing economic data continues to demonstrate persistent inflationary pressures in the US, making it a critical focus for monetary policy decisions.

Why it’s important

Higher inflation forecasts suggest interest rates will remain elevated for longer, impacting capital allocation, investment decisions, and economic growth projections.

What changes

Market expectations for rate cuts will be pushed further out, and the cost of capital will remain higher than previously anticipated, affecting corporate earnings and consumer spending.

Winners
  • · Inflation-protected securities
  • · Asset classes resilient to higher rates
Losers
  • · Growth stocks sensitive to discount rates
  • · Interest-rate sensitive sectors
  • · Borrowers with variable-rate debt
Second-order effects
Direct

The Federal Reserve is likely to maintain its current hawkish stance on interest rates, potentially indicating a 'higher for longer' monetary policy.

Second

Sustained high interest rates could eventually temper demand, leading to a more pronounced economic slowdown or recession in the medium term.

Third

Prolonged high inflation and slow growth could increase political pressure on fiscal policy, potentially leading to increased government spending or new tax policies to alleviate economic strain.

Editorial confidence: 90 / 100 · Structural impact: 60 / 100
Original report

This signal links to a primary source. Continuum Brief monitors and indexes it as part of the live intelligence stream — we do not republish source content.

Read at Bloomberg — Technology (Google News)
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