SIGNALAI·May 26, 2026, 4:00 AMSignal65Short term

Electricity Consumption Forecasting: An Approach Using Cooperative Ensemble Learning with SHapley Additive exPlanations

Source: arXiv cs.LG

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Electricity Consumption Forecasting: An Approach Using Cooperative Ensemble Learning with SHapley Additive exPlanations

arXiv:2605.25305v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Electricity expense management presents significant challenges, as this resource is susceptible to various influencing factors. In universities, the demand for this resource is rapidly growing with institutional expansion and has a significant environmental impact. In this study, the machine learning models long short-term memory (LSTM), random forest (RF), support vector regression (SVR), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) were trained with historical consumption data from the Federal Institute of Paran\'a (IFPR) over the last seven years a

Why this matters
Why now

The increasing focus on sustainable operations and the expansion of institutions like universities are driving the need for more efficient electricity management, making AI-driven forecasting crucial.

Why it’s important

Accurate electricity consumption forecasting is vital for optimizing resource allocation, reducing operational costs, and mitigating environmental impact in energy-intensive sectors.

What changes

This research demonstrates how cooperative ensemble learning can enhance the precision and interpretability of electricity demand predictions, offering a clearer pathway for practical implementation.

Winners
  • · Energy utilities
  • · Large institutions (universities, data centers)
  • · AI/ML model developers
  • · Energy management software providers
Losers
  • · Traditional energy forecasting methods
  • · Institutions with inefficient energy management
Second-order effects
Direct

Improved electricity management leads to reduced energy waste and operational expenses for large consumers.

Second

Wider adoption of such AI models could stabilize local grids by better matching supply and demand, contributing to grid reliability.

Third

The enhanced efficiency might enable more aggressive deployment of compute-intensive technologies by reducing the energy cost burden.

Editorial confidence: 85 / 100 · Structural impact: 40 / 100
Original report

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Read at arXiv cs.LG
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