SIGNALAI·May 26, 2026, 4:00 AMSignal55Short term

Evaluating passing decision-making in professional football: An enhanced MPNN approach to Receiver Selection

Source: arXiv cs.LG

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Evaluating passing decision-making in professional football: An enhanced MPNN approach to Receiver Selection

arXiv:2605.25696v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The process of decision-making in football is characterized by a complex interplay between spatial positioning, opponent pressure, and player intent. This work introduces a Graph Neural Network (GNN) framework designed to predict Receiver Selection, the optimal passing target, by modeling on-field interactions as dynamic graphs. Each player is represented as a node with positional and contextual features, while potential passing lines form weighted edges characterized by distance, angle, and pressure metrics. A Message-Passing Neural Network (MPN

Why this matters
Why now

The increasing sophistication of Graph Neural Networks and their application to complex, dynamic systems like sports is making such analysis feasible.

Why it’s important

This work demonstrates an advanced application of AI in analyzing dynamic, multi-agent interactions, which has implications beyond sports for areas requiring real-time decision optimization.

What changes

The ability to accurately model and predict optimal decision-making in football through GNNs introduces new analytical tools for strategy development and performance evaluation.

Winners
  • · Professional sports teams
  • · Sports analytics companies
  • · Machine learning researchers
  • · AI algorithm developers
Losers
  • · Traditional sports scouting methods
  • · Intuition-based coaching approaches
Second-order effects
Direct

Improved strategic decision-making and player development in professional football.

Second

Expansion of similar GNN applications to other multi-agent, dynamic environments such as logistics or warfare simulation.

Third

Potential for autonomous agent systems to make real-time, complex decisions in dynamic environments, informed by GNN modeling.

Editorial confidence: 90 / 100 · Structural impact: 10 / 100
Original report

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Read at arXiv cs.LG
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