NOISEAI·Jul 7, 2026, 4:00 AMSignal25Short term

KAN vs LSTM Performance in Time Series Forecasting

Source: arXiv cs.AI

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KAN vs LSTM Performance in Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2511.18613v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This study presents a controlled comparison of baseline Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN), implemented via PyKAN, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for the forecasting of stochastic, non-stationary financial time series. The two architectures are assessed in terms of predictive accuracy, computational efficiency, and interpretability, with accuracy measured by the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) in normalised feature space. Under a direct multi-output forecasting protocol, LSTM attains clearly superior accuracy across all tested p

Why this matters
Why now

The proliferation of new AI architectures like KANs necessitates constant benchmarking against established methods like LSTMs to understand their practical utility.

Why it’s important

This study offers a comparative performance analysis of a novel AI architecture (KAN) against a widely used one (LSTM) for a specific application (time series forecasting), contributing to the ongoing evaluation of AI model capabilities.

What changes

The finding suggests that for financial time series forecasting, LSTMs currently maintain superior accuracy over baseline KANs, indicating continued relevance of established methods in certain domains.

Winners
  • · LSTM users
  • · Time series forecasting sector
Losers
  • · Baseline KAN developers
  • · Early KAN adopters
Second-order effects
Direct

Further research will likely focus on improving KAN architectures to match or surpass LSTM performance in specific applications.

Second

Investment in KAN-based solutions for financial time series forecasting might be tempered until significant performance improvements are demonstrated.

Third

The broader AI community may continue to prioritize proven architectures for critical, accuracy-sensitive applications while new models mature.

Editorial confidence: 80 / 100 · Structural impact: 10 / 100
Original report

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Read at arXiv cs.AI
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