
arXiv:2605.20824v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many sequence computations are easier to study as movement through internal states than as isolated local circuits. We introduce Markovian Circuit Tracing (MCT), a diagnostic pipeline for testing whether transformer activations contain coarse state-transition structure. The benchmark uses synthetic Hidden Markov Model (HMM) tasks where latent states, transition matrices, Bayesian belief vectors, Bayes-optimal predictions, and forced-state counterfactual targets are known exactly. Across six HMM families and three seeds per family, tiny causal tra
The increasing complexity and opacity of transformer models necessitate new diagnostic tools for understanding their internal workings, driving innovation in interpretability research.
Improved interpretability methods like MCT allow for higher confidence in AI system behavior, crucial for deployment in sensitive applications and for accelerating model development.
The introduction of Markovian Circuit Tracing provides a novel and systematic approach to testing for coarse state-transition structures within transformer activations, offering a new lens for debugging and understanding.
- · AI researchers
- · Transformer model developers
- · Organizations deploying AI
- · Black-box AI proponents
MCT provides a standardized benchmark for evaluating transformer interpretability by using synthetic HMM tasks with known ground truth.
This improved understanding of internal states could lead to more robust, reliable, and explainable transformer models, fostering greater trust in AI.
Enhanced interpretability may accelerate the development of more sophisticated AI architectures, potentially converging towards more transparent and controllable artificial general intelligence.
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Read at arXiv cs.LG