AI·Jul 7, 2026, 4:00 AM

OpFlow: Learning Opportunity-Conditioned Choice Potentials for Robust OD Flow Prediction

Source: arXiv cs.LG

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OpFlow: Learning Opportunity-Conditioned Choice Potentials for Robust OD Flow Prediction

arXiv:2607.03200v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Origin-destination (OD) flow prediction is central to urban analytics, yet deep models trained on raw counts remain vulnerable to distribution shift. The core problem is that raw count supervision cannot distinguish transferable choice mechanisms from environment-specific shortcuts. Raw OD count mixes two objects: how much demand an origin produces and how that demand is allocated across destinations. We argue that the transferable object is the exposure-to-choice law that maps spatial conditions to relative destination preferences. We propose Op

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