SIGNALInfrastructure Software·May 26, 2026, 10:00 AMSignal85Short term

Survey reveals that 99% of CEOs now expect AI-driven layoffs — companies are racing to replace junior workers with AI, even as many executives remain uncertain about the returns on AI investments

Source: Tom's Hardware

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Survey reveals that 99% of CEOs now expect AI-driven layoffs — companies are racing to replace junior workers with AI, even as many executives remain uncertain about the returns on AI investments

A new Mercer report reveals that 99% of CEOs expect AI-driven layoffs within two years, with entry-level workers facing the biggest threat as companies slash junior roles despite many executives admitting AI investments still show weak or unproven returns.

Why this matters
Why now

The accelerating pace of AI development and adoption, combined with economic pressures, is prompting companies to evaluate AI's potential for cost reduction through workforce restructuring.

Why it’s important

This indicates a significant and immediate threat to entry-level employment across sectors and highlights CEO uncertainty regarding the return on substantial AI investments, suggesting a period of disruptive experimentation in corporate structures.

What changes

The immediate consequence is a likely surge in AI-driven layoffs, particularly affecting junior roles, even as the ultimate productivity and financial benefits of AI remain unproven for many executives.

Winners
  • · AI software and service providers
  • · Companies achieving successful AI integration for efficiency
  • · Shareholders of companies reducing labor costs
Losers
  • · Entry-level workers
  • · Traditional HR departments
  • · Companies unable to leverage AI effectively
  • · The broader labor market for routine tasks
Second-order effects
Direct

Companies will begin mass layoffs of junior employees, primarily driven by anticipated AI capabilities.

Second

Social and political pressure to address job displacement will increase, potentially leading to demands for new social safety nets or retraining programs.

Third

Long-term societal shifts in education and career paths will be necessary as traditional entry-level jobs diminish, potentially sparking innovation in human-AI collaboration models.

Editorial confidence: 95 / 100 · Structural impact: 70 / 100
Original report

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Read at Tom's Hardware
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